Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Western Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#252
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#246
Pace81.3#4
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
Improvement+2.2#74

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#292
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 248   Fordham W 86-76 62%     1 - 0 +1.6 -10.1 +9.6
  Nov 17, 2012 181   SMU L 75-78 45%     1 - 1 -7.1 -4.1 -2.9
  Nov 22, 2012 130   Charlotte L 64-73 23%     1 - 2 -6.6 -16.2 +11.1
  Nov 23, 2012 207   Loyola Marymount L 63-78 38%     1 - 3 -17.3 -14.2 -1.9
  Nov 24, 2012 291   UC Riverside W 81-69 62%     2 - 3 +3.7 +0.2 +2.2
  Nov 30, 2012 114   Utah L 69-74 29%     2 - 4 -4.6 -1.9 -2.9
  Dec 05, 2012 163   Oral Roberts L 77-86 41%     2 - 5 -12.1 -1.7 -10.1
  Dec 08, 2012 316   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-58 78%     3 - 5 +1.6 -10.2 +10.8
  Dec 15, 2012 88   @ Texas L 63-75 10%     3 - 6 -3.3 -12.7 +11.1
  Dec 17, 2012 125   @ Northwestern L 68-74 15%     3 - 7 +0.0 -4.8 +5.0
  Dec 20, 2012 250   @ Central Michigan L 80-92 38%     3 - 8 -14.1 -6.0 -6.9
  Dec 29, 2012 302   San Jose St. L 55-72 75%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -29.4 -21.0 -8.1
  Dec 31, 2012 116   Utah St. L 57-81 30%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -23.8 -18.1 -6.1
  Jan 03, 2013 54   @ Denver L 53-64 6%     3 - 11 0 - 3 +1.5 -2.2 +1.1
  Jan 05, 2013 87   @ New Mexico St. L 67-78 10%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -2.1 +1.4 -3.9
  Jan 10, 2013 86   Louisiana Tech L 67-84 23%     3 - 13 0 - 5 -14.6 -5.4 -8.0
  Jan 12, 2013 141   Texas Arlington L 74-91 36%     3 - 14 0 - 6 -18.6 +10.2 -30.4
  Jan 19, 2013 246   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-78 OT 36%     4 - 14 1 - 6 +1.5 +0.6 +0.7
  Jan 24, 2013 200   @ Idaho W 78-73 26%     5 - 14 2 - 6 +6.5 -5.0 +11.2
  Jan 26, 2013 229   @ Seattle W 86-83 33%     6 - 14 3 - 6 +2.3 +5.4 -3.5
  Jan 31, 2013 87   New Mexico St. L 72-86 23%     6 - 15 3 - 7 -11.6 -1.5 -9.6
  Feb 02, 2013 54   Denver L 64-79 15%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -9.0 -4.2 -5.4
  Feb 07, 2013 141   @ Texas Arlington L 50-75 17%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -20.2 -23.0 +5.7
  Feb 09, 2013 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-84 10%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -6.1 -5.4 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2013 246   Texas San Antonio L 62-73 60%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -19.0 -14.1 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2013 346   @ Lamar W 74-61 83%     7 - 19 -2.7 -7.0 +3.7
  Feb 28, 2013 229   Seattle W 67-65 57%     8 - 19 4 - 11 -5.2 -6.8 +1.6
  Mar 02, 2013 200   Idaho L 81-90 49%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -13.9 -8.2 -4.9
  Mar 07, 2013 116   @ Utah St. L 61-77 13%     8 - 21 4 - 13 -9.3 -16.7 +8.7
  Mar 09, 2013 302   @ San Jose St. W 90-67 52%     9 - 21 5 - 13 +17.1 +20.4 -2.7
  Mar 12, 2013 229   Seattle W 68-56 45%     10 - 21 +8.1 -1.3 +9.7
  Mar 14, 2013 54   Denver W 72-68 9%     11 - 21 +13.3 +16.9 -2.9
  Mar 15, 2013 87   New Mexico St. L 65-74 15%     11 - 22 -3.4 -3.3 -0.2
Projected Record 11.0 - 22.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%